MLB

Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres

Friars ride hot streak while Rays search for sunshine

Tampa Bay Rays

Rays (10-14) VS Padres (17-8)

25/04/2025 | 9:40 PM ET | Petco Park, San Diego, CA

San Diego Padres
Moneyline Pick - San Diego Padres (-140): Grade B

San Diego enters this matchup as the top team in the NL West, but have been cooling off with a 5-5 run, while Tampa Bay struggles through a 4-6 run and continues to battle key absences. The Rays are missing important bats and arms, leaning heavily on a lineup that hasn’t had much success against San Diego’s projected starter. Meanwhile, the Padres bring a deeper, healthier roster into a ballpark where the conditions favor their pitching style, and they’ve been one of the league’s best teams at pulling away late. With momentum, health, and matchup edges all tilted their way, the modest -140 price on San Diego grades out as a strong value.

Honestly, this feels like a spot where the Padres just keep rolling. Tampa’s lineup isn’t built to hang tough in a grind-it-out game right now, and San Diego’s been cashing in when it counts late. Laying the juice looks like a fair trade for a team that’s clearly trending up.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/04/2025 09:53

Over/Under Pick - Under 7, (-110): B

San Diego hosts Tampa Bay with both teams trending in opposite directions, the Rays racing the Orioles to the bottom of the AL East and the Padres sitting atop the NL West. Offensive firepower could be limited on both sides with injuries impacting key bats, and with a modest total set at 7, pitching is expected to dominate. Tampa’s starter brings a strong April ERA into a tough environment, while San Diego counters with a veteran arm who has historically baffled this opponent. With Petco’s cool night air working against hitters, the Under shapes up as a solid B-grade play at near-even odds.

Honestly, this feels like one of those games where hits are scattered and scoring chances are rare. Between the park factors, the arms on the mound, and the missing lineup pieces, banking on a low-scoring night sounds like the smart way to lean.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/04/2025 09:53

Spread Pick - San Diego Padres, -1.5 (-158): B+

San Diego looks to build momentum heading into this matchup, playing .500 ball and fielding a healthy lineup after a brief injury scare to key contributors. Tampa Bay arrives on a 4-6 run and are short-handed, missing critical arms both in the rotation and bullpen. The Rays turn to a veteran arm against another rested veteran starter who has consistently performed well against them, and they’ve struggled to keep pace on the scoreboard this season. With the Padres boasting the National League’s best bullpen WHIP and Tampa swinging through more pitches than they have in years, the home side looks well-positioned to cover the run line despite a steep price.

Honestly, this has all the markings of a routine win for San Diego. They’re healthy, hot, and sending out a reliable starter against a lineup that’s been pressing. The run line might be chalky, but it fits the matchup like a glove.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/04/2025 09:54

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