MLB

Phillies vs Cubs

Windy City arms aim to tame the Liberty Bell lumber

Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies (13-12) VS Cubs (16-10)

April 25, 2025 | 2:20 PM ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (-135): B

The Chicago Cubs welcome the Philadelphia Phillies to Wrigley Field amid a strong run, riding a bullpen that's been especially dominant recently. Philadelphia, meanwhile, arrives dealing with pitching adjustments and lingering injuries, giving Chicago the situational edge. With favorable pitching matchups and conditions historically suited to lower scoring games, the Cubs are positioned to leverage their current form into another home victory. Backing Chicago at a reasonable price looks solid, though not a guaranteed lock.

On paper, this feels like one of those classic afternoon bets you chat about with a buddy at lunch. The Cubs are rolling, their bullpen is clicking, and Philly’s lineup struggles against left-handers and afternoon conditions. It's not the playoffs yet, but these games matter, and this is exactly the type of scenario where betting Chicago makes sense.

Over/Under Pick - Under 8, (-110): B+

The Chicago Cubs welcome the Philadelphia Phillies to Wrigley Field, with each side presenting strong starting pitchers known for limiting baserunners and hits. Both teams arrive largely healthy but struggling for consistent offensive production beyond their core hitters. Weather forecasts indicate cooler conditions and stiff winds blowing in, historically leading to fewer runs at Wrigley. Combined with a pitcher-friendly umpire behind the plate, this matchup shapes up favorably for the Under, graded at a solid B+ for its promising probability.

Feels like a perfect storm for a low-scoring afternoon here—two stingy pitchers, chilly lakefront winds, and both teams missing that consistent power. If you're chatting with friends about bets today, this one has all the makings of a tight, low-run battle worth the under wager.

Spread Pick - Chicago Cubs, -1.5 (-158): B

The Chicago Cubs step onto their home field riding a strong stretch of form, while the Philadelphia Phillies arrive after 4 tough losses that have sapped their momentum. Conditions at Wrigley are expected to favor the home bats, and with Philadelphia dealing with lingering lineup health concerns, Chicago’s chances to capitalize against opposing pitching improve. The Cubs' bullpen has been sharp recently, and with added motivation to pad their divisional lead, laying the run line with Chicago earns a solid B grade for a good mix of matchup advantage and attractive odds.

Honestly, when a team’s hot and the visitors are banged up and reeling, it’s tough not to take the run line—especially with a little plus-money sweetener. Chicago’s been stringing hits together, and between a strong bullpen and those spring breezes, it feels like they’re set to open this one up late.

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks