MLB

Astros vs Royals

Veteran sticks aim to silence youthful KC surge

Houston Astros

Astros (13-11) VS Royals (10-14)

April 25, 2025 | 7:40 PM ET | Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Kansas City Royals
Moneyline Pick - Houston Astros (-125): B

The Houston Astros head into Kansas City on the upswing after a trio of wins, while the Royals are still below the .500 mark despite a 4 game run. Houston’s lineup is back to near full strength after clearing a recent injury scare, giving them a major advantage against a Kansas City team missing key offensive firepower. On the mound, Houston turns to a starter who has historically dominated the Royals' lineup, while Kansas City counters with a right-hander who has not fared well against Houston’s bats. With fresher arms in the bullpen after an off-day and Houston aiming to build an early cushion in the standings, the slight cost to back the Astros feels like a worthwhile investment.

Honestly, this looks like a spot where the Astros should take care of business. They’re healthier, swinging the bats better, and sending a pitcher to the mound who knows how to navigate this lineup. Laying a little bit of juice with Houston seems like a small price for a big edge.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/04/2025 09:47

Over/Under Pick - Over 8, (-110): B

Houston rolls into Kansas City riding a three-game winning streak, while the Royals are starting to rebound from a ten game skid with a four game run. Both teams are dealing with some roster absences, but the pitching matchup features two of the league’s better right-handers set to square off. Despite the high-profile arms on the mound, the matchup history between these lineups and starters suggests more offense than expected, and Kansas City’s bullpen struggles combined with a favorable breeze for hitters at Kauffman Stadium further point toward a higher-scoring game. With the total set at eight runs, the Over at -110 presents good value with a solid B-grade recommendation.

Honestly, even with big-name pitchers starting, everything lines up for some runs here. The weather, shaky bullpens, and past success from key hitters make eight feel just a little too low. Riding the Over feels like the smart play tonight.

Spread Pick - Kansas City Royals, +1.5 (-160): Grade B

The Kansas City Royals welcome the Houston Astros on a four-game winning streak, while Houston arrives after winning three in a row but they are dealing with key injuries and an overworked bullpen. Kansas City’s lineup, known for its contact approach, has found past success against Houston’s fly-ball heavy starters and has regularly covered the run line at Kauffman Stadium. Even though Houston’s lineup features favorable splits against Kansas City's starter, the Royals’ rested bullpen and home-field comfort give the underdog a strong chance to keep this one tight. Taking the extra run and a half feels like valuable protection in what figures to be a closely contested game.

Honestly, if you’re getting Kansas City at +1.5, it feels like a no-brainer. Houston’s pitching staff is stretched thin, KC’s bullpen is fresh, and the Royals usually grind out competitive games at home. This is a spot where the dog’s got some real bite.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/04/2025 09:48

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